Skip to content
MRD Watch

Thursday, November 12, 2026

Sponsor this briefing. One site and newsletter slot, $250/week.

Tag

Conference data

Data presented at ASCO, ESMO, ASH, SABCS, and similar meetings.

DYNAMIC-III: ctDNA split recurrence risk in stage III colon cancer, and de-escalation missed non-inferiority

In the phase 2/3 DYNAMIC-III trial published in Nature Medicine on October 20, 2025, 702 of 968 evaluable patients with stage III colon cancer were ctDNA-negative 5 to 6 weeks after surgery; 3-year recurrence-free survival was 87% if ctDNA-negative and 49% if ctDNA-positive, de-escalation in the ctDNA-negative group did not meet non-inferiority (85.3% versus 88.1%), and escalation in the ctDNA-positive group did not improve 2-year recurrence-free survival (51% versus 61%).

Nature Medicine

ASCO GU 2026: early ctDNA clearance in COMRADE tracked with longer rPFS in bone-dominant mCRPC

In a biomarker analysis of the phase 2 COMRADE trial presented at ASCO GU 2026, undetectable ctDNA at cycle 2 day 1 was associated with longer radiographic progression-free survival than detectable ctDNA (median 9.9 versus 2.7 months; HR 0.47) among 94 analyzed patients with bone-dominant metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.

UroToday

High-grade ovarian cancer: ctDNA positivity after frontline therapy independently tracked with shorter PFS

An ASCO 2026 retrospective cohort of 72 patients with high-grade epithelial ovarian cancer, 69 of whom were in clinical remission, found ctDNA positivity in 30 and second-look laparoscopy positivity in 33; on multivariable analysis ctDNA positivity predicted shorter progression-free survival (HR 4.35; 95% CI 2.17 to 8.72).

Journal of Clinical Oncology

NeoCircle: postoperative ctDNA detection was associated with relapse after neoadjuvant therapy for early breast cancer

In the NeoCircle analysis of 116 patients with stage I to III breast cancer presented at ASCO 2025, postoperative molecular residual disease detected with a tumor-informed structural-variant assay was associated with a shorter relapse-free interval (HR 45.5; 95% CI 13.0 to 159.8) and shorter overall survival (HR 15.3; 95% CI 4.5 to 52.9).

Journal of Clinical Oncology

Alpha-CORRECT: surveillance ctDNA positivity was strongly associated with recurrence in stage III colorectal cancer

In the observational alpha-CORRECT cohort of 124 patients with stage III colorectal cancer presented at ASCO GI 2025, a tumor-informed assay using up to 200 variants found that ctDNA positivity during surveillance was associated with recurrence (HR 49.6; 95% CI 16.6 to 148.3), with a median lead time of 10.4 months before a clinical diagnosis of recurrence.

Journal of Clinical Oncology

IMpower010: postoperative ctDNA positivity remained a poor prognostic factor at 5-year disease-free survival follow-up

At ESMO 2024, an updated IMpower010 analysis of resected stage II to IIIA non-small cell lung cancer reported that postoperative ctDNA positivity was a negative prognostic factor for disease-free survival after at least 5 years of follow-up, and that disease-free survival was longer with atezolizumab than with best supportive care in both ctDNA-positive and ctDNA-negative groups.

Annals of Oncology