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MRD Watch

Thursday, November 12, 2026

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Biomarkers

Markers used to select, monitor, or stratify treatment, including MRD assays and companion diagnostics.

Tissue-free ctDNA detection during TNBC surveillance was prognostic, with lead time similar to a tumor-informed assay

A JAMA Oncology analysis published online August 13, 2026, of 1,026 plasma samples from 159 patients in the c-TRAK TN surveillance cohort found that tissue-free ctDNA detection was associated with recurrence (HR 27.2; 95% CI 13.7 to 54.2), and median lead time to recurrence was 7.6 months with the tissue-free assay versus 7.1 months with a multivariant tumor-informed assay.

JAMA Oncology

FDA approves adjuvant atezolizumab for ctDNA MRD-positive MIBC, with Signatera CDx

On May 15, 2026, the FDA approved atezolizumab and atezolizumab/hyaluronidase as adjuvant treatment for adults with muscle-invasive bladder cancer after cystectomy who have ctDNA molecular residual disease on an FDA-authorized test, and approved Signatera CDx to select those patients; in IMvigor011 median disease-free survival was 9.9 versus 4.8 months (HR 0.64) and median overall survival was 32.8 versus 21.1 months (HR 0.59).

U.S. FDA

TRACERx: ultrasensitive tumor-informed ctDNA below 80 parts per million stratified relapse risk in NSCLC

A Cell paper published online November 7, 2025, applied a whole-genome tumor-informed ctDNA assay to 2,994 plasma samples from 431 patients with non-small cell lung cancer in TRACERx and reported that detection below 80 parts per million, before and after surgery, was prognostic, and that patients who cleared ctDNA during adjuvant therapy had better outcomes.

Cell

FDA approves lutetium Lu 177 vipivotide tetraxetan plus an ARPI for PSMA-positive metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer

On July 31, 2026, the FDA approved lutetium Lu 177 vipivotide tetraxetan with an androgen-receptor pathway inhibitor for PSMA-positive metastatic androgen-pathway-naive or -sensitive prostate cancer, with patients selected using Locametz or another approved PSMA PET product; in PSMAddition (1,144 patients) radiographic progression-free survival HR was 0.72 and median radiographic progression-free survival was not reached in either arm.

U.S. FDA

ASCO GU 2026: early ctDNA clearance in COMRADE tracked with longer rPFS in bone-dominant mCRPC

In a biomarker analysis of the phase 2 COMRADE trial presented at ASCO GU 2026, undetectable ctDNA at cycle 2 day 1 was associated with longer radiographic progression-free survival than detectable ctDNA (median 9.9 versus 2.7 months; HR 0.47) among 94 analyzed patients with bone-dominant metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.

UroToday

CheckMate 915: tumor-informed ctDNA positivity after resection was associated with melanoma recurrence

A Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer analysis published July 11, 2025, of adjuvant nivolumab with or without ipilimumab in resected stage III or IV melanoma found tumor-informed ctDNA at baseline in 16.2% of tested patients, and ctDNA positivity at baseline or on treatment was associated with recurrence (HR 1.97; 95% CI 1.57 to 2.46).

Journal for ImmunoTherapy of Cancer

FDA approves capivasertib plus abiraterone for PTEN-deficient metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer

On June 12, 2026, the FDA approved capivasertib with abiraterone and prednisone for PTEN-deficient metastatic androgen-pathway-naive or -sensitive prostate cancer, and approved the VENTANA PTEN (SP218) RxDx Assay, which calls PTEN deficiency when at least 90% of viable malignant cells have no specific cytoplasmic staining; in CAPItello-281 (1,012 patients) median radiographic progression-free survival was 33.2 versus 25.7 months (HR 0.81), and overall survival was immature.

U.S. FDA